Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
16% | 84% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
16% | 84% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | 16% |
| Buffalo Bills | 8% |
| Seattle Seahawks | 8% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 6% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5% |
| Dallas Cowboys | 4% |
| Denver Broncos | 4% |
| Detroit Lions | 4% |
| Houston Texans | 4% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4% |
| New England Patriots | 4% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 4% |
| Chicago Bears | 3% |
| Green Bay Packers | 3% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 3% |
| Arizona Cardinals | 1% |
| Atlanta Falcons | 1% |
| Carolina Panthers | 1% |
| Cleveland Browns | 1% |
| Indianapolis Colts | 1% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 1% |
| Miami Dolphins | 1% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 1% |
| New Orleans Saints | 1% |
| New York Giants | 1% |
| New York Jets | 1% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1% |
| Tennessee Titans | 1% |
| Washington Commanders | 1% |
| Other | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 16% probability to nfl champion 2027. This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rul…
Methodology
This page reviews NFL Champion 2027 across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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