Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| CR Flamengo (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Coritiba FBC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CR Flamengo (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Coritiba FBC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Flamengo will host Coritiba in a Série A fixture on 30 May 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, with settlement contingent on the availability of supplementary betting markets for the match. The current 100% implied probability reflects either exceptional certainty in market availability or sparse liquidity; such extremes often signal incomplete information rather than genuine consensus, making this an instructive case for conditional order strategies.
Historical precedent suggests Brazil Série A matches routinely generate secondary markets—goal-scorer props, corner totals, card counts—within 48 hours of fixture confirmation. Flamengo's status as a Rio de Janeiro heavyweight and Coritiba's established Série A presence both support the likelihood of granular market expansion. However, fixture postponements, broadcaster disputes, or regulatory changes have occasionally delayed or cancelled ancillary market launches. Traders employing automated monitoring should flag any official CBF (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol) announcements regarding scheduling or venue changes, which typically precede market adjustments.
For programmatic traders, the settlement window closing at 19:00 UTC on match day creates a tight execution window. Bots monitoring Série A calendars and cross-referencing with market-launch patterns can identify similar fixtures and backtest historical lag times between primary and secondary market availability. Conditional orders tied to fixture confirmation or broadcaster announcements offer a practical hedge against the binary outcome here; the 100% reading warrants scrutiny of whether the market is actually pricing certainty or simply reflecting thin order books.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $392K.
Methodology
We track CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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