Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 95% |
| O/U 37.5 | 92% |
| O/U 39.5 | 88% |
| O/U 41.5 | 84% |
| O/U 43.5 | 84% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati | 80% |
| Spread -0.5 | 80% |
| Spread -1.5 | 79% |
| Spread -2.5 | 77% |
| O/U 45.5 | 76% |
| 1H Moneyline | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| Texas Tech O/U 20.5 | 74% |
| O/U 47.5 | 73% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 73% |
| Spread -3.5 | 72% |
| O/U 49.5 | 70% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 70% |
| Spread -4.5 | 69% |
| Texas Tech O/U 23.5 | 68% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 68% |
| Spread -6.5 | 67% |
| Spread -5.5 | 67% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 66% |
| O/U 51.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 63% |
| Spread -7.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 59% |
| Spread -8.5 | 58% |
| O/U 53.5 | 58% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 11.5 | 57% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 55% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 55% |
| O/U 55.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| Spread -10.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| O/U 57.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| Cincinnati O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 46% |
| Cincinnati O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| O/U 59.5 | 44% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 16.5 | 44% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 44% |
| Texas Tech O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| Spread -14.5 | 42% |
| Texas Tech O/U 26.5 | 42% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 42% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -16.5 | 40% |
| O/U 61.5 | 39% |
| Texas Tech O/U 29.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| Spread -17.5 | 36% |
| O/U 63.5 | 35% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 34% |
| Spread -20.5 | 32% |
| Texas Tech O/U 32.5 | 32% |
| O/U 65.5 | 29% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 29% |
| O/U 67.5 | 25% |
| O/U 69.5 | 22% |
| Spread -0.5 | 20% |
| Spread -1.5 | 19% |
| Spread -2.5 | 18% |
| O/U 73.5 | 15% |
| Spread -3.5 | 14% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| O/U 71.5 | 14% |
| O/U 75.5 | 14% |
| Spread -5.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -8.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 95% probability to texas tech vs. cincinnati. In the upcoming college football game between Texas Tech and Cincinnati, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Tech" if Texas Tech win the game. This market will re…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $83K.
Methodology
We track Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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