Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 90% |
| CF Villarreal C O/U 0.5 | 79% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 78% |
| O/U 1.5 | 76% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 69% |
| Levante UD O/U 0.5 | 68% |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| CF Villarreal C 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 50% |
| CF Villarreal C 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Levante UD 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| CF Villarreal C O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Levante UD 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Levante UD O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Levante UD 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| CF Villarreal C 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 36% |
| Levante UD (-2.5) | 35% |
| CF Villarreal C (-1.5) | 34% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Levante UD O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Levante UD (-1.5) | 27% |
| Levante UD 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| CF Villarreal C O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 19% |
| O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| CF Villarreal C 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 14% |
| CF Villarreal C (-2.5) | 12% |
| O/U 5.5 | 8% |
Market context
The CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 90% YES. More markets for the Club Friendlies game, scheduled for August 5 at 4:00 AM ET.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD - More Markets on Polymarket Bot UK
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