Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
9% | 91% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
9% | 91% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 9% YES | 92% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
The Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs upper bracket quarterfinal between 9z and Sharks is scheduled for 27 May at 1:30 PM ET. This best-of-three match determines progression in a competitive Counter-Strike tournament structure where seeding and bracket position carry material weight for downstream matchups. The current crowd-implied probability of 67% for 9z reflects a moderate confidence gap rather than overwhelming consensus, suggesting meaningful uncertainty about team form or preparation status at match time.
Historical resolution patterns in similar regional Counter-Strike playoffs show that upper bracket matches between established teams rarely extend to full forfeiture or cancellation—the 7-day delay clause and 50-50 tie resolution are edge cases. More relevant comparables involve teams with recent LAN performance data and online qualifier results. 9z's recent tournament placements and Sharks' current roster stability should be cross-referenced against the last 60 days of regional competition to calibrate whether the 67% reflects genuine skill differential or market recency bias from a single recent result.
Traders monitoring this match should track official Stake tournament communications for any schedule shifts, which occasionally occur in Latin American regional events due to connectivity or venue constraints. Roster confirmations matter here—any last-minute stand-in announcements typically shift implied probabilities by 5–15 percentage points. The settlement window closes at 23:30 UTC on 27 May, creating a hard deadline for match completion; conditional orders tied to alternative outcomes (forfeiture, delay beyond 7 days) should account for tournament operator communication delays, which historically run 2–4 hours post-match.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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