Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Team Falcons and ex-HEROIC are scheduled to compete in a best-of-one Dota 2 match within the BLAST Slam Group Stage on 26 May at 16:00 UTC. The fixture carries standard esports settlement conditions: resolution hinges on match completion, with forfeits or cancellations beyond a seven-day window triggering a 50-50 split. Current crowd pricing sits at even odds, reflecting genuine uncertainty about the outcome.
Historical Dota 2 group-stage matchups between rosters of comparable tier reveal that single-elimination formats often produce tighter spreads than best-of-three series, since variance compounds across multiple games. Team Falcons and ex-HEROIC (formerly HEROIC's Dota division) have competed in regional and international qualifiers; their head-to-head record and recent LAN placements provide the primary reference points for calibrating win probability. Traders automating position entry should cross-reference recent tournament results and roster stability, as Dota 2 team compositions shift more frequently than in other esports titles.
For programmatic monitoring, watch for official BLAST Slam schedule updates, roster changes announced via team social channels, and any health or visa-related player absences in the 48 hours before match time. The settlement window closes at 21:10 UTC on 26 May, allowing roughly five hours post-match for result confirmation. Conditional order logic should account for the forfeiture clause: if either team withdraws after the match begins, the winner is determined by in-game outcome rather than administrative default. Monitor BLAST's official broadcast schedule and team announcements for any rescheduling beyond the seven-day threshold.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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