Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Team Falcons and Team Yandex are scheduled to compete in a best-of-one Dota 2 match as part of the BLAST Slam Group Stage on 27 May at 16:00 UTC. The fixture represents a regional encounter within a tournament structure designed to determine seeding and advancement through competitive play. Settlement occurs at 21:30 UTC the same day, allowing a five-and-a-half-hour window for match completion and result confirmation.
The 0% crowd probability warrants scrutiny against comparable BLAST Slam matchups and regional Dota 2 performance data. Team Falcons, representing the Middle Eastern competitive circuit, has historically competed at lower tiers relative to established European and Chinese rosters. Team Yandex, operating within the CIS region, similarly occupies a secondary tier in international rankings. When both teams occupy comparable skill bands, crowd markets often reflect genuine uncertainty rather than certainty; a 0% reading typically signals either missing liquidity, late-stage market positioning, or incomplete information regarding roster changes or recent scrim results.
Traders implementing conditional order logic should monitor three variables: official BLAST Slam schedule confirmations (delays beyond seven days trigger 50-50 resolution), roster announcements from either organisation, and any tournament-related disruptions affecting CIS or Middle Eastern regions. Recent tournament coverage from esports.gg and Liquipedia should be cross-referenced for patch notes affecting hero pools, as meta shifts between scheduling and match day can significantly alter matchup dynamics. Automated systems tracking these markets should flag any schedule amendments at least 24 hours before the settlement window closes.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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