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Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B

Live odds for "Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

First Blood in Game 1? 63% Ends in Daytime 50% Both Teams Beat Roshan 50% Both Teams Destroy Barracks 50% Volume: $379K Liquidity: $323K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 63% 37% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 63% 37% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
First Blood in Game 1?63%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?27%
Game 2 Winner25%
Match Winner14%
Game 1 Winner0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 63% YES probability for Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between L1ga Team and Nigma Galaxy in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 7 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "L1ga Team" if L1g…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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