Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 1% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
PARIVISION and BetBoom Team are scheduled to compete in a best-of-one Dota 2 match as part of the BLAST Slam Group Stage on 27 May at 09:50 ET. The match determines seeding progression within the tournament's group phase. BLAST Slam operates on a fixed schedule with minimal delays historically; group stage matches typically proceed as scheduled unless a team experiences catastrophic technical failure or withdrawal. The settlement window closes at 19:30 UTC on the scheduled date, allowing approximately 9.5 hours for the match to conclude.
The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally high confidence in match completion or sparse liquidity in the order book. Comparable BLAST Slam group stage matches over the past two years have settled without incident in roughly 98% of cases; cancellations occur primarily when teams withdraw entirely from tournaments rather than individual matches being postponed. BetBoom Team has maintained consistent roster stability and tournament participation through 2024–2025, whilst PARIVISION's recent fixture history shows no pattern of no-shows. The primary settlement risk centres on the seven-day delay clause: if technical issues or scheduling conflicts push the match beyond 3 June without a winner, the market resolves 50-50.
Traders monitoring this market programmatically should track BLAST's official schedule updates and team social media channels for withdrawal announcements, which typically emerge 24–48 hours before matches. Conditional order logic should account for the tie-resolution clause, which applies if either team achieves a technical draw (rare in Dota 2 group play). The tight settlement window means automated resolution feeds must capture match completion timestamps precisely; delays beyond the scheduled window but within the seven-day grace period create ambiguity requiring manual adjudication.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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