Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Vici Gaming and Team Falcons are scheduled to contest a best-of-three Dota 2 match within DreamLeague's Group A stage on 15 May at 06:00 ET. The match determines group positioning and qualification trajectory for both squads in what remains a competitive regional circuit. Settlement occurs at the scheduled match time plus a seven-day buffer, with tie or cancellation scenarios resolving to 50-50.

The 0% implied probability reflects either incomplete market formation or genuine expectation of match non-completion. Historical precedent from esports prediction markets shows Group A matches in established leagues like DreamLeague rarely fail to execute; cancellations typically occur only following roster disqualifications or league-wide disruptions. Comparable Dota 2 matchups between established organisations at this stage have settled on competitive outcomes rather than technical defaults. The current probability warrants scrutiny—it may indicate missing information about team availability or league scheduling changes rather than genuine predictive consensus.

Traders implementing conditional orders should monitor DreamLeague's official schedule and team roster announcements through 14 May. Recent esports disruptions have stemmed from visa complications and equipment logistics rather than team withdrawals at this competitive tier. Vici Gaming's recent form and Team Falcons' roster stability represent the substantive variables; the settlement window's seven-day extension provides buffer against minor scheduling slippage common in international esports. Programmatic monitoring of league communications and match-day confirmations remains essential given the binary technical resolution conditions.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.