Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Leicester City FC (-1.5) | 100% |
| Leicester City FC (-2.5) | 100% |
| Leicester City FC (-3.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Leicester City FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Leicester City FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Leicester City FC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Leicester City FC O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Leicester City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Leicester City FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Leicester City FC 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Bromley FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Bromley FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Bromley FC (-3.5) | 0% |
| Bromley FC (-4.5) | 0% |
| Leicester City FC (-4.5) | 0% |
| Bromley FC (-5.5) | 0% |
| Leicester City FC (-5.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Bromley FC O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Bromley FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Bromley FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Bromley FC O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Bromley FC O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Bromley FC O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Leicester City FC O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Leicester City FC O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Bromley FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Bromley FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Bromley FC 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Bromley FC 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Leicester City FC 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of bromley fc vs. leicester city fc - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the League One game, scheduled for October 20 at 2:45 PM ET.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade Bromley FC vs. Leicester City FC - More Markets on Polymarket Bot UK
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