Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
14% | 86% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
14% | 86% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal | 14% |
| Belgium 1 - 0 Senegal | 11% |
| Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal | 11% |
| Belgium 2 - 0 Senegal | 8% |
| Belgium 0 - 0 Senegal | 8% |
| Belgium 0 - 1 Senegal | 8% |
| Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal | 7% |
| Any Other Score | 6% |
| Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal | 6% |
| Belgium 3 - 1 Senegal | 5% |
| Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal | 4% |
| Belgium 3 - 0 Senegal | 4% |
| Belgium 3 - 2 Senegal | 3% |
| Belgium 2 - 3 Senegal | 2% |
| Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal | 2% |
| Belgium 1 - 3 Senegal | 2% |
| Belgium 3 - 3 Senegal | 1% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 14% probability to belgium vs. senegal - exact score. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and Senegal, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Belgium vs. Senegal match originally…
Methodology
This page reviews Belgium vs. Senegal - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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