Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Germany meet Côte d’Ivoire in a 2026 FIFA World Cup group-stage match, with the market settling on the exact regulation-time score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. For programme-driven traders, that means the relevant input is not the winner markets or any extra-time path, but the full-time scoreline state at the final whistle; if the score lands outside the listed buckets, the contract resolves to *Any Other Score*. FIFA’s match centre and live broadcasters show the fixture as a World Cup group game with kickoff at 20:00 UTC, which matches the settlement clock rather than any later knockout scheduling.[4][3]

The current crowd-implied 3% YES looks in line with an exact-score market rather than a simple side market. Exact scores are inherently fragmented because the probability is spread across many outcomes, and even the most common football finals usually leave the modal score well below a double-digit share once draw and alternative scorelines are included. The live pricing on the broader match also points to Germany as the stronger side, with ESPN listing Germany around -200 on the moneyline and a total around 2.5 goals, while FOX Sports similarly shows Germany favoured and a 2.5 total, which is the sort of setup that typically concentrates exact-score interest around low home wins rather than high-scoring or upset branches.[3][2]

What matters for a bot or conditional-order workflow is the dependency chain: line-up announcements, late injury news, weather, and whether the match state stays on the expected scoring distribution. If Germany starts fast, half-time and early-goal states can push exact-score probability towards 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, or 1-1 clusters; if Côte d’Ivoire holds structure and keeps tempo down, the under-2.5 path gains weight, which is consistent with the market’s current modest probability on any single exact score. Flashscore’s live match page and ESPN’s live coverage are the quickest places to check for in-play shifts, while FIFA’s official match centre confirms the fixture context and timing for settlement.[1][3][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Exact Score on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.