Tunisia vs. Japan - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Tunisia meet Japan in a Group F World Cup match at Monterrey Stadium, with the market now implying only a 3% chance of *more markets* being added before settlement. The current price is best read as a low-probability event on a narrow, well-defined fixture rather than a broad view on the match result; Japan are a clear in-play and pre-match favourite in nearby pricing, while Tunisia’s path to progression is already under pressure, which tends to reduce the scope for extra derivative markets unless there is an unexpected official update or settlement-related correction.[1][2][5]

For historical framing, Tunisia and Japan have a limited head-to-head sample, with Japan winning most of their meetings and the two sides generally producing modest scoring environments rather than chaotic market expansion.[8] The World Cup listing also shows this is a single scheduled fixture with a fixed kick-off time in Monterrey, so a programmatic trader would usually watch for changes in the official match centre, sportsbook-style odds feeds, or delayed data ingestion rather than assume late market creation by default.[2][5] In practical terms, copy-trading or conditional-order logic would be keyed to new exchange listings, suspension windows, or settlement-rule clarifications, because those are the main triggers that can move a “more markets” contract from inert to live.

The key catalysts are administrative, not tactical: confirmation from FIFA or venue operators that the fixture is proceeding as scheduled, any rescheduling linked to travel, weather, or broadcast constraints, and whether the market maker adds further sub-markets before the 04:00 UTC settlement cut-off.[5] Recent live listings show the match has already been priced and covered by major sports data providers, which makes late structural changes less likely unless there is a new announcement or a feed discrepancy that forces an update.[1][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Tunisia vs. Japan - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.