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Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic

Five-platform snapshot of "Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic Set 1 Winner 50% Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic Set 2 Winner 50% Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $199K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic Set 1 Winner50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic Set 2 Winner50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic Match O/U 21.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic Match O/U 22.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic Match O/U 23.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Completed Match0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovic. This market refers to the tennis match between Cruz Hewitt and Dusan Lajovic in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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