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Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton

Five-platform snapshot of "Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 1 Winner 100% Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $416K Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 1 Winner100%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Match O/U 21.5100%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Match O/U 22.5100%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Match O/U 23.5100%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton0%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 2 Winner0%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, bloomfield hills: thanasi kokkinakis vs adam walton stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Thanasi Kokkinakis and Adam Walton in the Bloomfield Hills, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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