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Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $233K Liquidity: $305K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez Set 2 O/U 8.51%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez Match O/U 22.51%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez0%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez Set 1 Winner0%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez Set 2 Winner0%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez Match O/U 21.50%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez Match O/U 23.50%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandez Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to los cabos open, qualification: nicolas mejia vs alex hernandez. This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Mejia and Alex Hernandez in the Los Cabos Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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