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Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm

Five-platform snapshot of "Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 2 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $239K Liquidity: $194K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 3 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 4 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Match O/U 36.599%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Match O/U 38.599%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Total Sets: O/U 3.599%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Match O/U 40.587%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set Handicap +/-1.551%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Total Sets: O/U 4.549%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 4 Winner37%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm23%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set Handicap +/-2.55%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 3 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 1 Winner0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon atp: marco trungelliti vs martin damm. This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Martin Damm in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungell…

Methodology

We track Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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