Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
68% | 32% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
68% | 32% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set 1 Winner | 68% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch | 64% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Match O/U 21.5 | 59% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set 2 Winner | 57% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Match O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Match O/U 23.5 | 45% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 43% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 39% |
Market context
Market consensus: 68% chance of generali open: adolfo vallejo vs kilian feldbausch. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Kilian Feldbausch in the Generali Open, originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will res…
Methodology
This page reviews Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch on Polymarket Bot UK
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