Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 78% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 60% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 40.5 | 51% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 38.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 Winner | 40% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 35% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 Winner | 28% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic | 20% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 7% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wimbledon atp: yibing wu vs novak djokovic stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Yibing Wu and Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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