Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
99% | 1% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
99% | 1% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| SC Corinthians Paulista | 99% |
| Draw | 1% |
| Clube do Remo | 0% |
Market context
SC Corinthians Paulista host Clube do Remo in a Brasileirão Série A fixture at the Neo Química Arena, with kickoff set for 22:30 UTC and the game closing Matchday 19. The market’s 99% YES price is effectively saying the match is all but certain to be played and settled as scheduled, so the main task for a power user is less about direction and more about execution: check settlement timing, verify the event metadata matches the scheduled fixture, and avoid accidental exposure if an API feed renames or retimes the game.[1][4][7]
Historically, this kind of probability profile usually reflects a fully listed top-flight fixture with live schedule confirmation rather than a genuine sporting edge. Corinthians are a much larger home-side name and have been priced as clear favourites by several preview models, while Remo arrive as the lower-ranked side and the market context points to a one-sided home venue, which helps explain why traders may treat the contract as near-certain once the fixture is locked.[1][2][6][8] In practical terms, the useful read is that the YES side is already pricing in the event’s existence, not a competitive mismatch.
For traders using bots, copy-trading, or conditional orders, the catalysts to watch are administrative rather than tactical: official team sheet releases, any late postponement trigger, and confirmation that the match remains at 22:30 UTC without venue change. Reuters-style pre-match wires are not present in the available results, so the best live signals here are the club and broadcaster listings confirming the fixture time and stadium, plus any last-minute competition notice before the settlement window closes.[1][3][7]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $306K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Clube do Remo on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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