Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| EC Vitória | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| CR Vasco da Gama | 0% |
Market context
EC Vitória and CR Vasco da Gama met in a Brazil Série A fixture on Thursday, 16 July 2026, with the match concluding in a 0–0 draw. The prediction market reflecting this outcome now sits at 100% YES, confirming the event has resolved as settled. For a programmatic trader, this represents a closed loop where the underlying real-world result is final and no further data ingestion is required.
Historically, Brazil Série A matches ending in 0–0 draws between mid-table and lower-tier clubs often trigger immediate market closure once official boxscores are published, as seen in comparable fixtures from the 2024 and 2025 seasons where 0–0 outcomes led to instant 100% settlement within minutes of the final whistle. The current probability aligns with this pattern, indicating the market has fully absorbed the official result from Fox Sports’ live boxscore[1]. Copy-trading bots would typically flag such markets as resolved and cease monitoring, while conditional orders tied to pre-match variables would automatically expire.
Traders should monitor official league announcements for any post-match disciplinary actions or VAR reviews that could theoretically alter the result, though none are expected given the 0–0 final. The next scheduled fixture between these sides is on 22 July 2026, per Bleacher Report’s upcoming match listing[2], but that is irrelevant to this settled market. For utility-focused platforms like polymarket-bot.co.uk, the key takeaway is that markets with 100% implied probability post-event are safe to archive, and no further catalysts require watching.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $187K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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