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Athletic Club vs. São Bernardo FC - More Markets

Live odds for "Athletic Club vs. São Bernardo FC - More Markets" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Athletic Club vs. São Bernardo FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Athletic Club O/U 0.5100%
Athletic Club O/U 1.5100%
São Bernardo FC O/U 0.5100%
Athletic Club 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
São Bernardo FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Athletic Club 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Athletic Club (-1.5)0%
São Bernardo FC (-1.5)0%
Athletic Club (-2.5)0%
São Bernardo FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Athletic Club O/U 2.50%
São Bernardo FC O/U 1.50%
São Bernardo FC O/U 2.50%
Athletic Club 1st Half O/U 1.50%
São Bernardo FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Athletic Club 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
São Bernardo FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
São Bernardo FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Athletic Club’s Série B meeting with São Bernardo FC is scheduled for 23 July, with listed kick-off around 00:30 UTC, and the “more markets” contract is about everything surrounding the fixture rather than the 1X2 outcome itself.[1][3][5] For a programme or bot that scans event trees, this kind of market is typically treated as a dependency on the base match going ahead on time, with settlement tied to which ancillary markets are posted and resolved under the exchange’s rules.

The 0% crowd-implied price is best read as a thin-liquidity starting point, not a strong view on the football. Comparable preview feeds point in opposite directions: one modelled set leans towards a São Bernardo edge with moderate goal expectancy, while another points to a low-scoring home result, which underlines that pre-match projections can diverge sharply before line-ups and market depth settle.[2][4] In practical terms, that makes the contract more suitable for conditional logic than for simple directional copying, because the “yes” outcome depends on market listing, not on one team winning or losing.

The main catalysts are operational rather than tactical: confirmation of kick-off, whether the match is covered by additional prop menus, and any late schedule changes around Série B round nineteen.[5] A trader automating around this market would watch official fixture status feeds and the exchange’s settlement definitions, then trigger orders only if the relevant sub-markets are actually posted before close; by the current listing, the game was already live in fixture databases, which reduces schedule uncertainty but does not guarantee that more markets will be created or remain open through settlement.[1][5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Athletic Club vs. São Bernardo FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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