Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 91% |
| Arizona State O/U 17.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M O/U 25.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M O/U 28.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M O/U 26.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M O/U 29.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 5.5 | 91% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 9.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M O/U 27.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 91% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 91% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 91% |
| Spread -3.5 | 89% |
| Spread -2.5 | 85% |
| Spread -4.5 | 85% |
| O/U 51.5 | 83% |
| Spread -7.5 | 76% |
| Spread -6.5 | 75% |
| Spread -10.5 | 66% |
| Spread -5.5 | 64% |
| Spread -9.5 | 63% |
| O/U 57.5 | 60% |
| Arizona State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Rueben Owens: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Marcel Reed: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mario Craver: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kyson Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Omarion Miller: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Isaiah Horton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ashton Bethel-Roman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Reed Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamarion Morrow: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cutter Boley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Marquis Gillis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Khamari Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Raiden Vines-Bright: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Carsyn Baker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Terry Bussey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cardae Mack: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jason Brown Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Micah Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| AJ Ia: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Richie Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Houston Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kelshaun Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aaron Gregory: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jalen Moss: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaren Hamilton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 48% |
| Spread -27.5 | 47% |
| Spread -24.5 | 44% |
| Spread -11.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Spread -20.5 | 38% |
| Spread -21.5 | 36% |
| O/U 69.5 | 33% |
| Spread -13.5 | 32% |
| O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| Spread: Texas A&M (-14.5) | 29% |
| Spread -16.5 | 25% |
| Spread -30.5 | 25% |
| Spread -17.5 | 19% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas A&M | 5% |
| Spread -3.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to arizona state vs. texas a&m. In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and Texas A&M, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game. This mar…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $399K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade Arizona State vs. Texas A&M on Polymarket Bot UK
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