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North Carolina State vs. Virginia

Five-platform snapshot of "North Carolina State vs. Virginia" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1Q Spread -0.5 100% 1Q Spread -1.5 100% 1Q Spread -2.5 100% 1Q Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $236K Liquidity: $514K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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North Carolina State vs. Virginia

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -3.599%
1H Spread -4.599%
Spread -1.594%
Spread -2.593%
Spread -3.592%
Spread: Virginia (-5.5)90%
Spread -6.589%
Spread -4.588%
Spread -7.586%
O/U 33.585%
Spread -10.577%
Spread -13.574%
1H Spread -2.570%
Spread -14.569%
Spread -16.568%
O/U 39.565%
Spread -17.557%
Spread -20.552%
O/U 55.552%
2Q Spread -2.552%
2Q Spread -3.552%
O/U 53.551%
O/U 57.551%
North Carolina State 1H O/U 10.551%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -27.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 35.550%
O/U 37.550%
O/U 41.550%
O/U 43.550%
O/U 47.550%
O/U 49.550%
O/U 59.550%
O/U 61.550%
O/U 65.550%
O/U 67.550%
O/U 71.550%
O/U 73.550%
1H Spread -0.550%
1H Spread -1.550%
1H Moneyline50%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
North Carolina State O/U 17.550%
North Carolina State O/U 20.550%
North Carolina State O/U 23.550%
North Carolina State O/U 26.550%
North Carolina State O/U 29.550%
Virginia O/U 22.550%
Virginia O/U 25.550%
Virginia O/U 28.550%
Virginia O/U 31.550%
Virginia O/U 34.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Virginia 1H O/U 11.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 13.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 15.550%
North Carolina State 1H O/U 8.550%
North Carolina State 1H O/U 12.550%
Virginia 2H O/U 11.550%
Virginia 2H O/U 13.550%
Virginia 2H O/U 15.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 10.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 12.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 14.550%
North Carolina State 1H O/U 14.550%
Virginia O/U 21.550%
Virginia O/U 24.550%
Virginia O/U 27.550%
Virginia O/U 30.550%
Virginia O/U 33.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 12.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 14.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 16.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 9.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 11.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 13.550%
O/U 50.550%
O/U 32.550%
O/U 34.550%
North Carolina State 2H O/U 8.550%
3Q Spread -2.549%
4Q Spread -2.549%
Spread -21.548%
2H Spread -2.548%
O/U 63.547%
2H Spread -3.547%
3Q Spread -3.547%
4Q Spread -3.547%
2H Spread -4.540%
O/U 45.539%
Spread -24.537%
O/U 69.533%
O/U 51.521%
O/U 52.520%
North Carolina State vs. Virginia6%

Market context

North Carolina State vs. Virginia — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for August 29 at 3:30PM ET: If North Carolina State wins, the market will resolve to "North Carolina State". If Virginia wins, the market will resolve …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q Spread -0.5 at 100% for "North Carolina State vs. Virginia".

1Q Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $236K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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Related Topics

Sports