Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| UTSA vs. Texas State | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Brad Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Will Henderson III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Beau Sparks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Dawn Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| AJ Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Torrance Burgess Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brandon High Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaylen Jenkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Davian Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| A'Marion Peterson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| David Amador II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brandon Young Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tucker Cusano: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mekhi Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Owen McCown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan Martin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DJ Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| T.J. West: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Miles Campbell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamel Hardy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| O/U 66.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 68.5 | 0% |
| O/U 70.5 | 0% |
| O/U 72.5 | 0% |
| O/U 74.5 | 0% |
| O/U 76.5 | 0% |
| O/U 78.5 | 0% |
| O/U 80.5 | 0% |
| O/U 82.5 | 0% |
| O/U 84.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, utsa vs. texas state stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between UTSA and Texas State, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UTSA" if UTSA win the game. This market wi…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $125K.
Methodology
This page reviews UTSA vs. Texas State across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade UTSA vs. Texas State on Polymarket Bot UK
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