Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Shandong Taishan FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Henan FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Shandong Taishan FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Henan FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Henan FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Shandong Taishan FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Henan FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Shandong Taishan FC’s match with Henan FC is the live event underneath the **“More Markets”** contract, and the current **0% YES** crowd price indicates the market is treating an extra-market listing as effectively absent unless the exchange adds new sub-markets before settlement. For a power-user running this programmatically, that means monitoring the event page and market metadata rather than the football fixture itself: “More Markets” resolves on whether the platform publishes additional related contracts, so the key signal is creation of any new market objects linked to this game.
Historically, these contracts tend to behave like infrastructure bets rather than match-result bets: the relevant precedent is whether the platform has a habit of launching derivative markets close to kick-off, or whether the listing stays static once the main slate is set. In practical terms, a 0% quote usually reflects either no expected additions or no liquidity discovery yet, so bots and copy-trading tools should watch for fresh order-book activity, admin announcements, or late schedule changes that trigger new settlement-linked questions. The useful comparator is not team form but platform workflow: if similar CSL fixtures have attracted side markets such as cards, corners, or player props, then the price can re-rate quickly once those templates appear.
The main catalysts are platform-side, not on-pitch. Traders should watch for last-minute competition updates, line-up-related data feeds, and any announcement that changes the match scope, because the settlement window ends at 2026-07-26T11:35:00Z and anything posted after that point is irrelevant to this contract. In a rule-based stack, the cleanest approach is to poll for newly created markets, compare timestamps against the settlement cutoff, and alert only on additions that are actually eligible to resolve inside the window.
Methodology
This page reviews Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →