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FK Auda vs. FCSB - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "FK Auda vs. FCSB - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

FK Auda (-1.5) 100% FK Auda (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $16K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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FK Auda vs. FCSB - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
FK Auda (-1.5)100%
FK Auda (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
FK Auda O/U 0.5100%
FK Auda O/U 1.5100%
FK Auda O/U 2.5100%
FCSB O/U 0.5100%
FK Auda 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
FK Auda 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
FK Auda 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
FCSB 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Team to Advance100%
FCSB (-1.5)0%
FCSB (-2.5)0%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
FCSB O/U 1.50%
FCSB O/U 2.50%
FK Auda 1st Half O/U 1.50%
FCSB 1st Half O/U 0.50%
FCSB 1st Half O/U 1.50%
FCSB 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

FK Auda are hosting FCSB in the second leg of a UEFA Europa Conference League qualifying tie, with the live match state and line-up data already available for the return in Riga. The first leg finished FCSB 2-3 Auda, so the aggregate score means traders are not dealing with a blank slate; the base match outcome has to be read alongside qualification logic, which is exactly the sort of distinction a programme or bot should encode before placing conditional orders. [3][7][9]

The 100% crowd-implied price suggests the market is effectively treating the “more markets” bucket as a certainty of additional settlement outcomes rather than a live football edge, so historical reading matters more than price discovery here. Auda’s win in Bucharest and the fact that they have already scored three away goals makes this tie materially different from a standard 90-minute preview, while comparable Conference League qualifiers often see market interest cluster around cards, corners, and first-team news once line-ups are confirmed. [3][7][12]

For a trader monitoring this programmatically, the main catalysts are final confirmation of teams, any late injury or rotation news, and whether the club or UEFA feed updates the match status, because those inputs can change which sub-markets are actually offered or active. Sky Sports and Sofascore both showed live line-up and in-play data for the fixture, and UEFA’s match page is the most direct source for official competition status, so a watcher should poll those dependencies before the 16:00 UTC settlement window closes. [1][4][5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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