Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns | 100% |
| Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns - Completed match? | 53% |
| Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns - Who wins the toss? | 1% |
Market context
Guyana Amazon Warriors met San Francisco Unicorns in the Global Super League match scheduled for 23 July 2026 at Providence Stadium, and the market resolves to the final result as recorded by ESPNcricinfo. With the crowd-implied price at 100% YES, the contract is already effectively treating the fixture as a certainty, so the relevant question for programmatic traders is less about direction and more about whether the event has been fully settled in the data feed used for execution and reconciliation. [4][9]
For comparable cricket match markets, the opening price tends to be most informative before line-ups and toss information land, but once a match is underway or complete the spread usually collapses sharply towards the observed result. Pre-match previews on this fixture were mixed: one model had San Francisco Unicorns marginally ahead at 52%, another rated the game close to 50-50, while another preview tipped Guyana Amazon Warriors, which is a typical signal that early pricing here was sensitive to venue and XI assumptions rather than a strong consensus edge. [1][2][3][5]
A trader running bots or conditional orders would watch for the official scorecard update, the confirmed result timestamp, and any competition-specific ruling such as a walkover, DLS adjustment, or on-field tiebreak, all of which still settle as an ordinary win under the market rules. Recent listings also show the fixture as live at Providence, so the main dependency is whether the final published result matches the event contract exactly; if not, execution logic should avoid assuming settlement before the official ESPNcricinfo entry is visible. [4][8][9]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $71K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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