Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants | 100% |
| The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants - Who wins the toss? | 50% |
| The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants - Completed match? | 50% |
Market context
MI London and Manchester Super Giants are scheduled to meet in The Hundred at the Oval, with the match resolved off the final published scoreline on ESPNcricinfo. In practical market terms, a **100% YES** price only makes sense if the contest is already confirmed as completed and MI London have been recorded as the winner; otherwise, pre-match certainty at that level would be mispriced against the actual state of play and should be checked against the live result feed before any automation acts on it.[3][7]
The recent head-to-head record leans strongly towards MI London: they have won the last four completed men’s fixtures against Manchester Super Giants in The Hundred, by margins of 1 run, 3 wickets, 14 runs and 36 runs, with Manchester’s only win in the listed sequence coming in 2022.[3][7] That kind of short-series dominance matters for bot-driven approaches because historical priors can be encoded into conditional orders or watchlists, but they should still be subordinated to match-specific inputs such as toss, batting order and innings state rather than treated as a standalone signal.[1][2]
For traders running programme-based tooling, the key catalysts are the official scorecard progression, any delays or interruptions, and the final result publication from ESPNcricinfo, since settlement follows the completed match outcome rather than narrative momentum. Manchester Super Giants won the toss and chose to bowl, which is a useful live variable for models that react to chase dynamics at a venue that can reward disciplined bowling first; their recent 2026 win over London Spirit also showed they can defend modest totals, so any in-play script should keep both chase leverage and rain/abandonment edge cases under review until the result is locked.[1][2][4]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $143K.
Methodology
This page reviews The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants on Polymarket Bot UK
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