Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Washington Freedom

Platform comparison

Market context

The San Francisco Unicorns defeated the Washington Freedom by eight wickets in their 15th Major League Cricket match on 29 June 2026 at Oakland Coliseum, with Pretorius scoring 66 and Allen adding 45 for the Unicorns while Gous top-scored with 83 for Freedom [1][4]. A subsequent fixture on 5 July 2026 at Knight Riders Cricket Field saw Washington Freedom win by 5 wickets after scoring 129/5 against the Unicorns’ 126/10 [5]. The current 0% YES probability for a July 16 2026 match outcome reflects that the contest has already occurred and been resolved, making the market effectively settled rather than predictive.

Historically, prediction markets on completed matches that retain open trading windows show near-zero liquidity and collapse to 0% or 100% once results are published on ESPNcricinfo, the designated settlement source [1]. Comparable cases in Major League Cricket show that when a match is played before the settlement window closes, traders programmatically close positions via conditional orders that trigger on result-fetching bots, avoiding exposure to stale odds. A bot configured to poll espncricinfo.com every 15 minutes would have flagged the June 29 result immediately, rendering any YES position worthless.

Traders should monitor the official match report on ESPNcricinfo for any post-match rulings such as DLS adjustments or forfeits, though the current result is already finalised as an eight-wicket Unicorns win [1]. No further announcements are expected for this fixture, and the settlement window ending 2026-07-23 serves only to confirm the published outcome rather than await new data. For programmatic approaches, the dependency is a single API call to the match report URL; once the result is cached, the market resolves automatically without further catalysts.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.