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Counter-Strike: BIG vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: BIG vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 80% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 75% Match Winner 71% Volume: $249K Liquidity: $92K Closes: 22 Oct 2026
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Counter-Strike: BIG vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.580%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.575%
Match Winner71%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)65%
O/U 2.5 Games52%
Map 2 Winner50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-9.5) vs TheMongolz (+9.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-12.5) vs TheMongolz (+12.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)45%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-6.5) vs TheMongolz (+6.5)33%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)5%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 90% YES probability for Counter-Strike: BIG vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Final match between BIG and TheMongolz in the 1win Private Club Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: BIG vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: BIG vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Priva… on Polymarket Bot UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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