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Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Live odds for "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Match Winner 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-9.5) vs Alliance (+9.5) 10% Volume: $556K Liquidity: $378K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-9.5) vs Alliance (+9.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: parivision vs alliance (bo1) - xse pro league group stage stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between PARIVISION and Alliance in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market …

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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