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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Volume: $755K Liquidity: $264K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?100%
Ends in Daytime1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?1%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Team Liquid and GamerLegion are due to play a Dota 2 best-of-two series, and the market is currently pricing **100% YES** for the “more markets” condition. In practical terms, that kind of certainty usually reflects either a resolution already understood from the event structure or a market that has effectively become redundant to the underlying series rather than a live view on competitive strength. For a programme that ingests event calendars and settlement rules, the first check is whether the series still exists inside the settlement window and whether any additional sub-markets can still be posted before the deadline.

The historical frame is one-sided: Team Liquid has won every recent head-to-head listed in available records, including 2-0 results in DreamLeague Season 29 and BLAST Slam VI, plus a 2-1 win at PGL Wallachia Season 8.[2][3][5][10][12] That sort of repeated dominance matters less for a pure “more markets” container than for match winner pricing, but it still helps explain why market participants may treat the pairing as low-uncertainty when automating entries, especially if their bot logic weights prior series results, roster stability, and whether the contest format is BO2 rather than BO1 or BO3.[1][3][5]

The main catalysts to watch are administrative rather than tactical: confirmed start time, whether the match begins on schedule, and whether the tournament page or scoreboards still expose new derivative markets before settlement.[2][4] For power users running conditional orders or copy-trading rules, the key dependency is the live series status because once the match is locked, there is no scope for fresh pricing updates even if the underlying game is delayed or the series format shifts in practice.[4][9]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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