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Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Ends in Daytime 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? 100% Volume: $665K Liquidity: $118K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100%
First Blood in Game 2?95%
Ends in Daytime90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 95.5 in Game 2?48%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of dota 2: mouz vs vici gaming - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between MOUZ and Vici Gaming, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets on Polymarket Bot UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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