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Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Bot UK.

Ends in Daytime 90% First Blood in Game 1? 90% Any Player Rampage 51% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 51% Volume: $168K Liquidity: $331K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime90%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Any Player Rampage51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 2?24%
Game 2 Winner14%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?10%
Match Winner7%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?5%
Game 1 Winner0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

The Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A prediction market currently prices this outcome at 90% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Poor Rangers and Team Falcons in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 10 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Poor Rangers"…

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports… on Polymarket Bot UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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