🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogPlace a position →

Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5) 61% Both Teams Beat Roshan 59% Any Player Ultra Kill 57% Both Teams Destroy Barracks 53% Volume: $79K Liquidity: $203K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
Open live market →
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)61%
Both Teams Beat Roshan59%
Any Player Ultra Kill57%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks53%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Any Player Rampage52%
Ends in Daytime50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?47%
O/U 2.5 Games35%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Any Player Ultra Kill30%
Any Player Ultra Kill30%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks26%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks26%
Game 2 Winner22%
Game 1 Winner21%
Match Winner14%
Any Player Rampage14%
Any Player Rampage14%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 61% probability to dota 2: team resilience vs team yandex (bo3) - the international group stage. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Team Resilience and Team Yandex in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The I… on Polymarket Bot UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →