Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
91% | 9% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots | 91% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ shots | 86% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots | 75% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots | 73% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ shots | 69% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots | 63% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ shots | 59% |
| Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots | 54% |
| Promise David: 1+ goals | 53% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots | 52% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ shots | 52% |
| Promise David: 1+ shots | 52% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots | 52% |
| Brahim Díaz: 4+ shots | 51% |
| Promise David: 2+ shots | 51% |
| Promise David: 3+ shots | 51% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Promise David: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Promise David: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ assists | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Promise David: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Promise David: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Promise David: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Dayne St. Clair: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Dayne St. Clair: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Dayne St. Clair: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Dayne St. Clair: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Yassine Bounou: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Yassine Bounou: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Yassine Bounou: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Yassine Bounou: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ shots on target | 49% |
| Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals | 35% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals + assists | 34% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 5+ shots | 34% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots on target | 24% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals | 23% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals | 22% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ assists | 18% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals | 14% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ assists | 14% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Promise David: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ assists | 13% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals | 12% |
| Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals | 12% |
| Cyle Larin: 3+ goals | 12% |
| Promise David: 3+ goals | 12% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goals | 12% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ assists | 12% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ assists | 12% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ assists | 12% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ assists | 12% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ assists | 12% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ assists | 12% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals | 11% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ goals | 7% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ assists | 7% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals | 5% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals | 2% |
Market context
Market consensus: 91% chance of canada vs. morocco - player props. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Canada and Morocco, scheduled for July 4 at 1:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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