France vs. Iraq - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

France meet Iraq in a FIFA World Cup group-stage match in Philadelphia, with kick-off set for 22 June at 21:00 UTC, and the market window closes almost immediately after the final whistle. The current 73% crowd-implied YES price is consistent with a one-sided pre-match setup: ESPN’s board has France around -700 on the moneyline and Iraq at +3000, while FIFA lists the fixture as Group I, Match 42.[2][4]

For a power user, the useful framing is to treat “More Markets” as a dependency tree rather than a single outcome: any extra market on cards, corners, player props, or second-half goals will usually inherit the same baseline from the main match state. France’s tournament record and squad depth have historically supported short-priced expectation in group play, but Iraq’s prior results against European opposition are not decisive here; the more relevant comparator is whether the market is pricing a routine France win or adding derivative markets that only become live if the game stays open into the second half.[1][6][7]

The catalysts to watch are lineup releases, late injury or rotation news, and any confirmed schedule or venue change, because those can move derivative markets faster than the headline win probability. Programmatically, traders will typically key off official team sheets, live odds updates, and settlement rules for each sub-market, then route orders or copy-trades only after the dependency graph is clear; FIFA and ESPN both confirm the match listing and timing, which is the anchor for automation.[2][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews France vs. Iraq - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.