Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
24% | 76% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
24% | 76% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Other Score | 24% |
| France 2 - 0 Sweden | 12% |
| France 2 - 1 Sweden | 10% |
| France 3 - 0 Sweden | 10% |
| France 1 - 0 Sweden | 9% |
| France 3 - 1 Sweden | 9% |
| France 1 - 1 Sweden | 7% |
| France 2 - 2 Sweden | 4% |
| France 3 - 2 Sweden | 4% |
| France 0 - 0 Sweden | 3% |
| France 0 - 1 Sweden | 2% |
| France 1 - 2 Sweden | 2% |
| France 0 - 2 Sweden | 1% |
| France 1 - 3 Sweden | 1% |
| France 2 - 3 Sweden | 1% |
| France 3 - 3 Sweden | 1% |
| France 0 - 3 Sweden | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 24% chance of france vs. sweden - exact score. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the France vs. Sweden…
Methodology
This page reviews France vs. Sweden - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade France vs. Sweden - Exact Score on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →