Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Germany meet Côte d’Ivoire in Group E of the FIFA World Cup at BMO Field in Toronto, with kick-off set for 20:00 UTC, 4 p.m. ET. FIFA lists the fixture as Match 33 in the first stage, and ESPN’s pre-match page places it at 4 p.m. ET with Juan Gabriel Benítez Mareco appointed as referee.[2][3]

A 43% yes price on “more markets” is best read as a moderate expectation that the game will generate additional derivative outcomes, not a strong consensus. For power users, the relevant comparison set is not just previous Germany matches but World Cup group fixtures between sides with clear tournament stakes, where market breadth tends to depend on whether the match develops early goals, card activity, or live line movement that can trigger linked propositions. Germany’s 7–1 opening win over Curaçao, highlighted in live coverage, is the sort of prior result traders often use in bots to bias half-time and total-goals trees, while Côte d’Ivoire’s own schedule and group position shape whether late-game asymmetry appears.[6][7]

The main catalysts are pre-match team news, live starting XIs, and any schedule dependency from Group E that changes the incentive structure before kick-off. ESPN’s listing confirms standard broadcast availability and the venue, which matters because automated traders often key off official line-up feeds and timing windows rather than headline previews; FIFA’s match-centre page is the cleanest source for any late administrative changes before settlement.[2][3] In practice, conditional orders and copy-trading rules usually hinge on whether the pre-match price holds near the low-40s or reprices sharply after line-ups, since that is when “more markets” demand tends to widen most quickly.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.