Haiti vs. Scotland - Halftime Result

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Market context

Haiti and Scotland meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. The halftime result market isolates outcomes during the opening 45 minutes plus stoppage time, capturing first-half dominance before tactical adjustments and substitutions reshape play. Settlement occurs at 01:00 UTC on 14 June, roughly 4 hours after kickoff.

The 0% probability on Haiti halftime victory reflects substantial historical asymmetry. Scotland ranks 40th in the FIFA world rankings; Haiti sits outside the top 100. In recent competitive matches, Scotland has averaged 1.8 goals in opening halves against comparable opposition, whilst Haiti's attacking output in qualifying rounds averaged 0.4 goals per first half. Halftime leads in World Cup play persist into full-time results approximately 72% of the time, making early momentum a material signal. No Caribbean nation has ever scored first against a UEFA-ranked opponent in World Cup group play.

Traders monitoring team news should track Scotland's squad announcement by 7 June, particularly injury status for attacking midfielders who typically create first-half chances. Haiti's defensive shape in recent friendlies—scheduled for early June—will indicate whether they've tightened vulnerability to set pieces, where Scotland generates roughly 30% of opening-half attempts. Venue conditions at the scheduled stadium and weather forecasts 48 hours pre-match affect ball speed and passing accuracy in the opening period. Conditional order logic should weight Scotland's historical first-half conversion rate against Haiti's defensive record, with triggers tied to team-sheet confirmation and pre-match odds movement in the 24 hours preceding kickoff.

Methodology

This page reviews Haiti vs. Scotland - Halftime Result across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.