Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
4% | 96% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
4% | 96% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Haiti (-1.5) | 4% Haiti | 96% Scotland |
| Scotland (-1.5) | 36% Scotland | 65% Haiti |
| Haiti (-2.5) | 1% Haiti | 99% Scotland |
| Scotland (-2.5) | 17% Scotland | 84% Haiti |
| O/U 0.5 | 94% Over | 7% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 76% Over | 25% Under |
Market context
Haiti and Scotland meet in a FIFA World Cup qualifier on 13 June 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. The market settles YES if additional betting markets become available for this fixture; the current 4% probability reflects scepticism that supplementary markets will launch before the settlement window closes on 14 June at 01:00 UTC.
Historical precedent suggests that major sportsbooks activate secondary markets—goal-scorer props, corner counts, card accumulations—only for matches involving established betting jurisdictions or teams with substantial wagering volume. Haiti's limited participation in World Cup qualifying rounds and Scotland's inconsistent qualification history mean bookmakers have historically deprioritised deep market coverage for their matchups. When either team plays a major football nation, secondary markets proliferate within hours of fixture confirmation. Against each other, however, the addressable betting pool contracts sharply, reducing incentive for platforms to deploy conditional order logic or API integrations that would populate niche markets.
Traders monitoring this outcome should track sportsbook announcements between 10 and 13 June, particularly from platforms serving UK and North American punters. Regulatory filings or press releases from major operators often precede market launches by 24–48 hours. The fixture's scheduling in the evening ET window—outside peak European trading hours—may further suppress market depth. Programmatic traders relying on automated feeds or copy-trading bots should note that secondary market availability typically clusters around high-liquidity events; this match's low base probability reflects genuine structural constraints rather than mispricing.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $304K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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