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Mexico vs. England - Player Props

Live odds for "Mexico vs. England - Player Props" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Harry Kane: 1+ shots 92% Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots 91% Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots 86% Harry Kane: 2+ shots 85% Volume: $455K Liquidity: $1.9M Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Mexico vs. England - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Harry Kane: 1+ shots92%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots91%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots86%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots85%
Harry Kane: 1+ shots on target72%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots71%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots64%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots62%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots56%
Armando González: 1+ shots on target50%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots on target50%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots on target50%
Raúl Rangel: 3+ saves49%
Raúl Rangel: 5+ saves49%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots48%
Armando González: 2+ shots on target48%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots on target48%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots on target48%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots on target48%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots on target48%
Jordan Pickford: 2+ saves47%
Raúl Rangel: 2+ saves47%
Raúl Rangel: 4+ saves47%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals + assists41%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots39%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals38%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals + assists38%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots36%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target36%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots on target36%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots on target35%
Jordan Pickford: 3+ saves34%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals + assists34%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots33%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots33%
Armando González: 2+ shots32%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots32%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target32%
Jordan Pickford: 4+ saves32%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals + assists32%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ shots31%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots31%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots on target31%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals + assists31%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists31%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots30%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots30%
Jordan Pickford: 5+ saves30%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals + assists30%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots on target28%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals + assists28%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals27%
Armando González: 1+ shots27%
Harry Kane: 5+ shots27%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assists27%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals25%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots23%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ goals + assists22%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ goals + assists22%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots21%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots21%
Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assists21%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals + assists21%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals + assists21%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots20%
Santiago Giménez: 4+ shots20%
Santiago Giménez: 5+ shots19%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots on target16%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots on target15%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals14%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on target14%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots13%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ assists13%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assists12%
Armando González: 1+ goals11%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ goals11%
Raúl Jiménez: 5+ shots11%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assists11%
Armando González: 5+ shots10%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals9%
Harry Kane: 1+ assists9%
Marcus Rashford: 5+ shots8%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals + assists8%
Julián Quiñones: 5+ shots7%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots on target7%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ goals6%
Ivan Toney: 1+ goals5%
Armando González: 3+ shots4%
Armando González: 4+ shots4%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots4%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots4%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists4%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals3%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals3%
Harry Kane: 2+ assists3%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ assists3%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ assists3%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals2%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals2%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ goals2%
Ivan Toney: 5+ shots2%
Ollie Watkins: 5+ shots2%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ assists2%
Armando González: 3+ shots on target2%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots on target2%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots on target2%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots on target2%
Armando González: 2+ goals1%
Armando González: 3+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 2+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 3+ goals1%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ goals1%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals1%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals1%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots1%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots1%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals0%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 92% YES probability for Mexico vs. England - Player Props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and England, scheduled for July 5 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Mexico vs. England - Player Props across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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