Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Draw | 100% |
| Drogheda United FC | 0% |
| Shamrock Rovers | 0% |
Market context
Drogheda United host Shamrock Rovers in a Premier Division fixture, and the current 0% YES price implies the market is treating the scheduled kick-off as effectively settled or no longer tradeable rather than as a live football view. For a power-user running bots or conditional orders, the first check is whether the contract is still open and whether the settlement clock and event feed have already advanced past the match start, because a stale 0% can reflect market mechanics as much as sporting expectations.[15][16]
On comparable head-to-head data, Shamrock Rovers have been the stronger side over a long sample: one head-to-head record shows 70 meetings since 2004 with Shamrock Rovers winning 42, Drogheda 13, and 15 draws, while another database gives a similar balance across 75-plus matches.[1][11][13] Recent meetings have also leaned Rovers’ way, including 3-0 and 2-1 wins in 2025, although Drogheda have produced some better short-run results in their broader recent form, so programmatic models usually weight the latest lineups and venue more heavily than the all-time split.[3][8]
The main catalysts to monitor are official team news, late injury or suspension updates, and any schedule disruption, because those can move a football market faster than historical form alone. Flashscore and SofaScore list the fixture as a live event page, which is the kind of feed a bot would poll for confirmed line-ups, red cards, and price drift around kick-off; in practice, traders often set alerts on starting XIs and then use conditional orders if a late absence changes the expected goal difference materially.[15][16]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $97K.
Methodology
This page reviews Drogheda United FC vs. Shamrock Rovers across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Drogheda United FC vs. Shamrock Rovers on Polymarket Bot UK
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