Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to itf kursumlijska banja: elza tomase vs dunja maric. This market refers to the tennis match between Elza Tomase and Dunja Maric in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elza T…
Methodology
We track ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric on Polymarket Bot UK
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