Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 75% |
| ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Match O/U 21.5 | 75% |
| ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Match O/U 22.5 | 75% |
| ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Match O/U 23.5 | 75% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 25% |
| ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse | 11% |
| ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse. This market refers to the tennis match between Sam Ryan Ziegann and Thanaphat Boosarawongse in the ITF Men Bali, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 2:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sam …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse on Polymarket Bot UK
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