Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 99% |
| FC Anyang 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 99% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 78% |
| FC Anyang 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 77% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 2.5 | 57% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| FC Anyang (-1.5) | 19% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5) | 14% |
| FC Anyang (-2.5) | 8% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5) | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Anyang 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Bucheon FC 1995 are due to face FC Anyang in a K-League fixture with the “more markets” settlement tied to the game finishing by 10:30 UTC. The crowd-implied **17% YES** reads as a low-likelihood position, which is consistent with a market that is asking whether the match will generate a specific extra event set rather than the straight result; on a programmatic workflow, that usually means tracking line movement against team news, because these side markets can reprice quickly once line-ups or venue context is confirmed. Bucheon and Anyang are close enough on the table to make in-play state important: Anyang are listed 6th on 23 points from 17 matches, while Bucheon sit 9th on 19 points from 17, so the match has enough competitive balance to keep conditional-order logic active rather than treating it as a one-sided spot[1].
Historical framing points towards a relatively tight matchup rather than a lopsided one. Across 48 head-to-head meetings, Bucheon have won 13, Anyang 20, and 15 have ended level, which is a useful baseline when comparing the market’s low YES price to how often these teams produce decisive outcomes[6]. Comparable pricing from third-party match odds also leans towards a balanced contest, with average 1X2 odds around 2.45 for the home side, 3.10 for the draw, and 2.88 for Anyang[3]. For traders using bots or copy-trading rules, that combination usually argues for watching whether the market is reacting to broader match-flow assumptions rather than a simple win-draw-loss view.
The main catalysts are late team sheets, any confirmed rotation, and whether the kick-off and competition listing remain unchanged, because settlement depends on the scheduled July 22 match proceeding as expected[2]. If a feed updates the fixture status or the line-up structure, those changes can alter how “more markets” is interpreted by automated strategies, especially where the bot is set to react to substitute depth, goal expectancy, or card-heavy profiles. Sports data feeds already show the fixture as live for Wednesday, 22 July 2026, so the practical edge is in monitoring last-minute confirmations rather than waiting for broad consensus to move first[2].
Methodology
We track Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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