Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Seoul E-Land FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Seoul E-Land FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Seoul E-Land FC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Cheonan City FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Cheonan City FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Cheonan City FC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Seoul E-Land FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Cheonan City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Seoul E-Land FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Seoul E-Land FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Cheonan City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Cheonan City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Seoul E-Land FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Cheonan City FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Seoul E-Land FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Cheonan City FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Seoul E-Land FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Cheonan City FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Seoul E-Land FC and Cheonan City FC are scheduled to play in K League 2, and this “more markets” contract is about whether additional sub-markets will be listed or resolved around that fixture rather than the match result itself. The crowd-implied **0% YES** pricing implies the market is either seeing no credible sign of extra offerings yet, or that participants expect the listing set to stay unchanged through the settlement window.
For a power user, the clean way to read that number is by comparing it with how often similar football event pages expand late, especially when line-ups, goal-line releases, or card/corner props are added near kick-off. Historical head-to-head pages for this pairing show a goal-friendly profile, with one statistical preview flagging a “very high chance” of Seoul E-Land scoring and another noting both teams scored in Seoul E-Land’s last four games, which can matter if a book or exchange starts layering in live or derivative markets.[1][2]
The main catalysts to watch are the market-maker’s publishing schedule, any postponement or timing change to the 6:30 am ET start, and whether the operator opens additional ladders as team news lands. Programmatically, traders usually poll the event page, compare the active market count against a stored baseline, and trigger on any new selection appearing before the settlement deadline; recent stat previews also show the fixture had already been priced with standard match and totals lines in prior comparable coverage, which is the sort of dependency that often precedes a broader menu of derivatives.[3]
Methodology
We track Seoul E-Land FC vs. Cheonan City FC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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