Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Draw | 100% |
| Tigres de la UANL | 0% |
| Real Salt Lake | 0% |
Market context
Tigres de la UANL and Real Salt Lake meet in the Leagues Cup, and the market’s **0% YES** implies the contract is being treated as effectively dead rather than merely unlikely. The pair have a thin but relevant head-to-head file: three meetings since 2008, with Tigres winning once, Real Salt Lake once, and one draw, while the most recent comparable competitive game ended 1-0 to Tigres in 2019.[1][3][8]
For a power-user running this programme through bots or conditional orders, the key historical read is that the fixture has not been one-way, but Tigres have generally carried the stronger ceiling in these cross-border cups. In the two earlier CONCACAF Champions League ties in 2016, Tigres drew 1-1 away and won 2-0 at home, which matters when calibrating automated triggers for a favourite priced too cheaply or a longshot that only needs a narrow upset path.[12][16]
The immediate catalysts are straightforward: official team news, line-ups, and any schedule changes before the 02:00 UTC settlement window closes, because late rotation can move a football market faster than the pre-match headline price. Leagues Cup fixtures also sit inside a tournament format where travel, squad management, and knockout dependencies can matter more than raw head-to-head records, so a trading script should watch for confirmed selections and live status updates rather than relying only on historical priors.[11][15]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $209K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Tigres de la UANL vs. Real Salt Lake on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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